Sara Torregrosa Hetland
Senior lecturer
War inflation and taxation
Author
Summary, in English
Warfare has been commonly associated with increasing levels of inflation, with important implications for tax systems. In this chapter, we first review the literature on war finance and inflation, considering both the fiscal causes of inflation during wartimes and the effects of inflation on tax revenues. Second, we focus on developments in the income tax during the World Wars, building upon our previous work (Torregrosa-Hetland and Sabaté, 2022). We describe the mechanisms through which inflation affected progressivity and redistribution, by
reducing the real value of exemptions, brackets and deductions (“bracket creep”). This led to the incorporation of new taxpayers into the income tax system and increased significantly the tax burden of those already included. Third, we study the issue of income tax legitimacy in the face of war inflation using a novel dataset of parliamentary debates and press articles in the United Kingdom. Other episodes of bracket creep have been associated with legitimacy challenges. We use natural language processing techniques to examine whether the effects of inflation on tax progressivity were a topic of discussion in national parliaments and the press, and the extent to which MPs and journalists identified inflation as a challenge to income tax legitimacy.
reducing the real value of exemptions, brackets and deductions (“bracket creep”). This led to the incorporation of new taxpayers into the income tax system and increased significantly the tax burden of those already included. Third, we study the issue of income tax legitimacy in the face of war inflation using a novel dataset of parliamentary debates and press articles in the United Kingdom. Other episodes of bracket creep have been associated with legitimacy challenges. We use natural language processing techniques to examine whether the effects of inflation on tax progressivity were a topic of discussion in national parliaments and the press, and the extent to which MPs and journalists identified inflation as a challenge to income tax legitimacy.
Department/s
- Growth, technological change, and inequality
- Department of Economic History
Publishing year
2024-02
Language
English
Publication/Series
UB Economics Working Papers
Volume
24
Issue
463
Document type
Working paper
Topic
- Economic History
Keywords
- Inflation, Wars
- Taxation
- Text analysis
- N40
- E52
- E6
- H20
- H56
Status
Published
Project
- Taxing for the welfare state: progressivity in the rise of social spending (1910-1970)